by Steve Belt on July 20, 2008
This is the first update I am doing where all data was retrieved via the new FlexMLS system. The system hasn’t gone live yet (go live date is July 28, 2008), but it is available in read only mode, making it perfect for the weekly statistical update. As I cross-check between systems, the numbers vary a tiny bit, but it’s less than 0.1%, which I suspect is the difference between the live updates made throughout today and the snapshot that FlexMLS took 12+ hrs ago.
Across all of Maricopa County, there are currently 36,917 single family homes for sale, up by 125 from last week. There are 5556 sales currently pending, down by 39 from last week. And 4402 homes closed escrow in the last 30 days, up by 26 from last week. As a result, broader Maricopa County now has 8.4 months of inventory, based on this week’s numbers.
|
City
|
Homes For Sale
|
Sales Pending
|
Sold
|
| Phoenix |
10,387 58
|
1455 22
|
1060 36
|
| Scottsdale |
3915 15
|
335 4
|
301 5
|
| Mesa |
3247 36
|
513 1
|
408 0
|
| Chandler |
1845 7
|
335 2
|
328 14
|
| Glendale |
2096 5
|
371 9
|
279 10
|
| Goodyear |
876 10
|
173 7
|
132 11
|
| Tempe |
532 5
|
84 2
|
91 13
|
| Cave Creek |
530 4
|
45 4
|
49 8
|
| Fountain Hills |
506 4
|
27 7
|
27 3
|
| Paradise Valley |
458 6
|
14 1
|
17 2
|
| Carefree |
118 1
|
6 1
|
7 0
|
*All data comes via ARMLS, and is presumed to be reliable, but is not guaranteed. All numbers represent single family detached homes only. Condos, townhouses, timeshares, vacant land lots, and manufactured homes are not represented in these numbers. All sold properties were sold in the last 30 days.
The following trend indicators are relative to the previous week’s update:
Positive move upward
Positive move downward
Negative move downward
Negative move upward
.
by Steve Belt on July 13, 2008
Today’s update comes after a short weekend trip my family took to the Grand Canyon. For subscribers, and other frequent readers of the blog, expect a few photos from the National Park in upcoming posts.
Across all of Maricopa County, there are currently 36,792 single family homes for sale, down by 102 from last week. There are 5595 sales currently pending, up by 251 from last week. And 4376 homes closed escrow in the last 30 days, down by 81 from last week. As a result, broader Maricopa County now has 8.4 months of inventory, based on this week’s numbers.
It’s nice to see the number of pending sales move up rather significantly. Perhaps overall July sales will surprise me, and be higher than June. The following are the 10 city-by-city breakdowns I am following:
|
City
|
Homes For Sale
|
Sales Pending
|
Sold
|
| Phoenix |
10,329 28
|
1477 102
|
1024 31
|
| Scottsdale |
3930 13
|
339 7
|
306 20
|
| Mesa |
3211 31
|
512 17
|
408 1
|
| Chandler |
1852 9
|
337 17
|
342 1
|
| Glendale |
2091 12
|
362 20
|
289 0
|
| Goodyear |
886 18
|
166 15
|
143 0
|
| Tempe |
528 3
|
82 7
|
104 6
|
| Cave Creek |
526 7
|
49 2
|
41 2
|
| Fountain Hills |
510 0
|
34 0
|
24 0
|
| Paradise Valley |
452 2
|
15 3
|
19 1
|
| Carefree |
119 2
|
7 1
|
7 2
|
*All data comes via ARMLS, and is presumed to be reliable, but is not guaranteed. All numbers represent single family detached homes only. Condos, townhouses, timeshares, vacant land lots, and manufactured homes are not represented in these numbers. All sold properties were sold in the last 30 days.
The following trend indicators are relative to the previous week’s update:
Positive move upward
Positive move downward
Negative move downward
Negative move upward
.
by Steve Belt on July 6, 2008
I hope everyone had a great 4th of July weekend. We enjoyed the extremely cool weather in Pinetop, AZ, where I don’t think the high temp was over 75 degrees. At just over a 3 hour drive from Phoenix, Pinetop may just be the ideal 2nd home location for those living in Phoenix or Tucson.
Across all of Maricopa County, there are currently 36,894 single family homes for sale, down by 509 from last week. There are 5344 sales currently pending, down by 152 from last week. And 4457 homes closed escrow in the last 30 days, down by 268 from last week. As a result, broader Maricopa County is now at 8.3 months of inventory, based on this week’s numbers.
Recent sales have not kept pace with the decline in inventory, which is moving months of supply upward. I expect the trend toward an increasing months of supply number, as the general rule, throughout the rest of 2008. The following are the 10 city-by-city breakdowns I am following:
|
City
|
Homes For Sale
|
Sales Pending
|
Sold
|
| Phoenix |
10,357 113
|
1375 13
|
1055 65
|
| Scottsdale |
3943 111
|
332 22
|
326 28
|
| Mesa |
3242 52
|
495 11
|
409 29
|
| Chandler |
1843 35
|
320 12
|
341 9
|
| Glendale |
2079 12
|
342 3
|
289 13
|
| Goodyear |
904 12
|
151 7
|
143 9
|
| Tempe |
525 8
|
75 10
|
98 11
|
| Cave Creek |
533 26
|
51 0
|
39 8
|
| Fountain Hills |
510 6
|
34 1
|
24 10
|
| Paradise Valley |
450 5
|
18 4
|
18 0
|
| Carefree |
117 6
|
8 0
|
5 0
|
*All data comes via ARMLS, and is presumed to be reliable, but is not guaranteed. All numbers represent single family detached homes only. Condos, townhouses, timeshares, vacant land lots, and manufactured homes are not represented in these numbers. All sold properties were sold in the last 30 days.
The following trend indicators are relative to the previous week’s update:
Positive move upward
Positive move downward
Negative move downward
Negative move upward
.
by Steve Belt on June 29, 2008
Across all of Maricopa County, there are currently 37,403 single family homes for sale, up by 190 from last week. There are 5496 sales currently pending, down by 86 from last week. And 4725 homes closed escrow in the last 30 days, up by 250 from last week. As a result, broader Maricopa County is now at 7.9 months of inventory, based on this week’s numbers.
While there is more inventory, the increased number of sold homes improved the months of supply figure significantly. The following are the 10 city-by-city breakdowns I am following:
|
City
|
Homes For Sale
|
Sales Pending
|
Sold
|
| Phoenix |
10,470 155
|
1362 2
|
1120 96
|
| Scottsdale |
4054 11
|
354 12
|
354 26
|
| Mesa |
3294 0
|
506 9
|
438 9
|
| Chandler |
1878 43
|
332 28
|
350 36
|
| Glendale |
2091 64
|
345 11
|
276 13
|
| Goodyear |
916 15
|
158 2
|
152 3
|
| Tempe |
533 13
|
85 6
|
109 2
|
| Cave Creek |
559 5
|
51 1
|
31 7
|
| Fountain Hills |
516 4
|
33 0
|
34 1
|
| Paradise Valley |
455 2
|
22 1
|
18 2
|
| Carefree |
123 2
|
8 2
|
5 1
|
*All data comes via ARMLS, and is presumed to be reliable, but is not guaranteed. All numbers represent single family detached homes only. Condos, townhouses, timeshares, vacant land lots, and manufactured homes are not represented in these numbers. All sold properties were sold in the last 30 days.
The following trend indicators are relative to the previous week’s update:
Positive move upward
Positive move downward
Negative move downward
Negative move upward
.
by Steve Belt on June 27, 2008
Catherine Reagor reported in the Arizona Republic today that Arizona lawmakers passed a bill yesterday that will require loan officers and mortgage originators to pass a test, pay a fee, and notify the Arizona Department of Financial Institutions where they are working.
Governor Janet Napolitano still needs to approve the bill, but reports are that she is in favor of the measure. If passed, the new law would go into effect January, 2010.
Personally, I think this is good legislation. I don’t know whether having such a law on the books would have resulted in fewer “bad loans” in the past, however. That’s so hypothetical. I also wonder how difficult this test will be, whether there will be a pre-licensing class that is needed, and just how much the fee will be. Naturally, the higher the cost and effort it takes to get into the business, the more likely it is to weed out a couple of more bad apples.
Per Robin Gronsky, who has been tracking states that add or plan to add licensing requirements for loan originators, Arizona will join 35 other states that already have or plan to have licensing requirements.
by Steve Belt on June 22, 2008
Across all of Maricopa County, there are currently 37, 213 single family homes for sale, up by 122 from last week. There are 5582 sales currently pending, down by 110 from last week. And 4475 homes closed escrow in the last 30 days, down by 2 from last week. As a result, broader Maricopa County is now at 8.3 months of inventory, based on this week’s numbers.
The broader Phoenix real estate statistics continue to show that the market is improving toward a balanced market. The following are the 10 city-by-city breakdowns I am following:
|
City
|
Homes For Sale
|
Sales Pending
|
Sold
|
| Phoenix |
10,315 100
|
1360 30
|
1024 35
|
| Scottsdale |
4065 24
|
366 9
|
328 14
|
| Mesa |
3294 0
|
515 1
|
429 7
|
| Chandler |
1921 15
|
360 15
|
314 0
|
| Glendale |
2027 27
|
356 29
|
263 6
|
| Goodyear |
901 8
|
156 10
|
149 4
|
| Tempe |
520 12
|
91 0
|
107 4
|
| Cave Creek |
559 5
|
51 1
|
31 7
|
| Fountain Hills |
520 1
|
33 3
|
35 2
|
| Paradise Valley |
457 4
|
23 2
|
16 1
|
| Carefree |
125 4
|
6 0
|
3 1
|
*All data comes via ARMLS, and is presumed to be reliable, but is not guaranteed. All numbers represent single family detached homes only. Condos, townhouses, timeshares, vacant land lots, and manufactured homes are not represented in these numbers. All sold properties were sold in the last 30 days.
The following trend indicators are relative to the previous week’s update:
Positive move upward
Positive move downward
Negative move downward
Negative move upward
.
by Steve Belt on June 15, 2008
This week’s update occurs on Father’s Day. From this father to all of the other father’s out there, we certainly hope you had a great Father’s Day.
Across all of Maricopa County, there are currently 37,091 single family homes for sale, down by 85 from last week. There are 5692 sales currently pending, up by 280 from last week. And 4477 homes closed escrow in the last 30 days, up by 75 from last week. As a result, broader Maricopa County is now at 8.3 months of inventory, based on this week’s numbers.
The broader Phoenix real estate statistics continue to show that the market is improving toward a balanced market. The following are the 10 city-by-city breakdowns I am following:
|
City
|
Homes For Sale
|
Sales Pending
|
Sold
|
| Phoenix |
10,215 54
|
1390 73
|
989 33
|
| Scottsdale |
4041 10
|
375 5
|
342 11
|
| Mesa |
3294 4
|
516 7
|
436 18
|
| Chandler |
1906 31
|
375 27
|
314 9
|
| Glendale |
2040 2
|
385 25
|
257 2
|
| Goodyear |
909 2
|
166 1
|
153 12
|
| Tempe |
508 5
|
91 2
|
111 2
|
| Cave Creek |
564 1
|
50 2
|
24 1
|
| Fountain Hills |
519 0
|
36 1
|
33 4
|
| Paradise Valley |
453 4
|
21 3
|
17 3
|
| Carefree |
129 1
|
6 0
|
2 1
|
*All data comes via ARMLS, and is presumed to be reliable, but is not guaranteed. All numbers represent single family detached homes only. Condos, townhouses, timeshares, vacant land lots, and manufactured homes are not represented in these numbers. All sold properties were sold in the last 30 days.
The following trend indicators are relative to the previous week’s update:
Positive move upward
Positive move downward
Negative move downward
Negative move upward
.